Peru Presidential Election Winner Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarket Skip to main content (https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner#__pm_main) Politics (https://polymarket.com/politics)·Global Elections (https://polymarket.com/predictions/global-elections) Peru Presidential Election Winner Keiko Fujimori 65% Roberto Sánchez Palomino 35.8% Rafael López Aliaga<1% Carlos Álvarez<1% $63,134,554 Vol. 1H 1D 1W 1M Max $63,134,554 Vol. Jun 7, 2026 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Keiko Fujimori $8,183,362 Vol. 65% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 % Buy Yes 65¢Buy No 36¢ Roberto Sánchez Palomino $14,806,918 Vol. 36% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 % Buy Yes 36.2¢Buy No 64.6¢ Rafael López Aliaga $12,945,538 Vol. 1% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 % Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.6¢ Carlos Álvarez $6,663,617 Vol. <1% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 % Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ César Acuña $645,994 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Vladimir Cerrón $252,942 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Roberto Chiabra $136,391 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Enrique Valderrama $266,138 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Mesías Guevara $327,092 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Jorge Nieto $5,777,871 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Mario Vizcarra $206,758 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ José Luna $369,848 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ José Williams $143,207 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Fiorella Molinelli $161,253 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Fernando Olivera $472,562 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Yonhy Lescano $439,432 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Alfonso López Chau $2,316,275 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ George Forsyth $281,708 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Ricardo Belmont $4,324,435 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Carlos Espá $1,799,714 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Rafael Belaúnde Llosa $221,872 Vol. 0% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Marisol Pérez Tello $1,689,348 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ Wolfgang Grozo $703,804 Vol. <1% Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 0.0¢ General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead in trader consensus for Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff, consistent with recent Ipsos and Datum polls showing her at 38-40 percent against Roberto Sánchez Palomino’s 35-36 percent amid high undecided and blank ballot shares. Fujimori topped the fragmented April first round with 17.19 percent in a field of 35 candidates, edging out Sánchez’s 12.04 percent after logistical delays extended voting and counting. Her conservative Popular Force platform focuses on security and economic stability, while Sánchez’s left-leaning Together for Peru agenda emphasizes constitutional changes and social programs. The narrow polling gap and voter consolidation from eliminated candidates remain the main variables heading into the final debate and election day. Rules Market Context General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET Volume $63,134,554 End Date Apr 12, 2026 Market Opened Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET Resolver 0x2F5e3684c... (https://polygonscan.com/address/0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d) Propose resolution (https://oracle.uma.xyz/propose?project=Polymarket&transactionHash=0x4a2b56ff161a548c0097f048588d1a4afef4a173b82cf04d3ebe6850e5c1046d&eventIndex=10) General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".... Show more Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead in trader consensus for Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff, consistent with recent Ipsos and Datum polls showing her at 38-40 percent against Roberto Sánchez Palomino’s 35-36 percent amid high undecided and blank ballot shares. Fujimori topped the fragmented April first round with 17.19 percent in a field of 35 candidates, edging out Sánchez’s 12.04 percent after logistical delays extended voting and counting. Her conservative Popular Force platform focuses on security and economic stability, while Sánchez’s left-leaning Together for Peru agenda emphasizes constitutional changes and social programs. The narrow polling gap and voter consolidation from eliminated candidates remain the main variables heading into the final debate and election day. Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated Jun 5, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC Comments(5,743) Top Holders Positions Activity Post Beware of external links. Newest Holders Beware of external links. https://polymarket.com/profile/0x72e7f7a191e566d586e38b184cdfb8af88eb1761 ThePrimeMinister (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x72e7f7a191e566d586e38b184cdfb8af88eb1761) 967 Roberto Sánchez Palomino 1m ago Sánchez aún puede irse a 45 0 https://polymarket.com/profile/0x9e7450ec275234d6ebf1ba4f70ca2ce8c56995a6 Triangular-Vinta... (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x9e7450ec275234d6ebf1ba4f70ca2ce8c56995a6) 3.0K Marisol Pérez Tello 60m ago Sigan inflando a Keiko por favor! 0 https://polymarket.com/profile/0xfc48d732593a692872f336e5a7b9f446833a1349 MdAliK (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xfc48d732593a692872f336e5a7b9f446833a1349) 114 Alfonso López Chau 2h ago que jp gane para ganar mi apuesta lo que ocurra en perukistan me importa un carajo 0 1 Replies https://polymarket.com/profile/0x9e7450ec275234d6ebf1ba4f70ca2ce8c56995a6 Triangular-Vinta... (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x9e7450ec275234d6ebf1ba4f70ca2ce8c56995a6) 3.0K Marisol Pérez Tello 59m ago @MdAliK (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xfc48d732593a692872f336e5a7b9f446833a1349) jajaja 27 usd? Seaaas malooo 0 https://polymarket.com/profile/0xb18de2b6c5ff0522aafaab8719ef15797fe9045a brunoparis (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xb18de2b6c5ff0522aafaab8719ef15797fe9045a) 14.3K Roberto Sánchez Palomino 2h ago Check Reuters New Poll : Sánchez is winning 2 https://polymarket.com/profile/0x30687f44db250f7d914acb4ddc9634c3400e083d YoungMoziRPG (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x30687f44db250f7d914acb4ddc9634c3400e083d) 552 Keiko Fujimori 4h ago Keiko will win guys, americans want to control the S-hemisphere 6 https://polymarket.com/profile/0x7fdc0f0e0205aac4ee092e7ed6bd35add9451830 echovl (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x7fdc0f0e0205aac4ee092e7ed6bd35add9451830) 121.3K Rafael López Aliaga 5h ago It's finally happening 🤠 0 https://polymarket.com/profile/0x0bb6690daaa08f950174028601e78587af539a46 TAZCB (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x0bb6690daaa08f950174028601e78587af539a46) 19.2K Keiko Fujimori 6h ago Keiko presidenta 🧡🍊🧡📈 por lo menos 5 puntos arriba. 🔼🔼🔼🔼🥳 5 https://polymarket.com/profile/0xd47279e16b073c2b8d8b13a68049cfd3a4886255 Diegochevarin (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xd47279e16b073c2b8d8b13a68049cfd3a4886255) 138 Roberto Sánchez Palomino 7h ago Ceo de ipsos desmiente encuesta falsa 7 5 Replies https://polymarket.com/profile/0x21ad91b90148500c597b3410bf879b3e584e249c eltiorafis (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x21ad91b90148500c597b3410bf879b3e584e249c) 899 Roberto Sánchez Palomino 8h ago Un FRACASO total el mitin de Keiko en Roblox el día de hoy!!!!!! 3 1 Replies https://polymarket.com/profile/0xf780660dd7af4990ad12c17b68364553e76d8396 benismar (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xf780660dd7af4990ad12c17b68364553e76d8396) 38 Keiko Fujimori 7h ago @eltiorafis (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x21ad91b90148500c597b3410bf879b3e584e249c) es el viernes 5 a las siete de la noche... 1 https://polymarket.com/profile/0xd338f02e545d459542e39789c91ee8ecc520ae5b LuigiCas (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xd338f02e545d459542e39789c91ee8ecc520ae5b) 4.8K Roberto Sánchez Palomino 8h ago El top holder de Keiko @jocpolitic está empezando a comprar Sanchezcoins al rededor de 32c, 34c y vender poco a poco Naranjacoins,porque sino se irá a pique 📉. En las ultimas 24horas a perdido más de $30K en su cartera ALV 😳. 8 1 Replies https://polymarket.com/profile/0x72e7f7a191e566d586e38b184cdfb8af88eb1761 ThePrimeMinister (https://polymarket.com/profile/0x72e7f7a191e566d586e38b184cdfb8af88eb1761) 967 Roberto Sánchez Palomino 8h ago @LuigiCas (https://polymarket.com/profile/0xd338f02e545d459542e39789c91ee8ecc520ae5b) Está haciendo la gran SBF para no estrellar el precio 0 Show more comments Frequently Asked Questions What is the "Peru Presidential Election Winner" prediction market? "Peru Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 65%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution. How much trading activity has "Peru Presidential Election Winner" generated on Polymarket? As of today, "Peru Presidential Election Winner" has generated $63.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page. How do I trade on "Peru Presidential Election Winner"? To trade on "Peru Presidential Election Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss. What are the current odds for "Peru Presidential Election Winner"? The current frontrunner for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges. How will "Peru Presidential Election Winner" be resolved? The resolution rules for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled. Can I follow "Peru Presidential Election Winner" without placing a trade? Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Peru Presidential Election Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen. Why are Polymarket's odds for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" considered reliable? Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $63.1 million traded on “Peru Presidential Election Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page (https://polymarket.com/accuracy) on Polymarket. How do I start trading on "Peru Presidential Election Winner"? To place your first trade on "Peru Presidential Election Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works. What does a price of 65¢ for "Keiko Fujimori" mean? On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 65¢ for "Keiko Fujimori" in the "Peru Presidential Election Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 65% chance that "Keiko Fujimori" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 65¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 35¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0. When does the "Peru Presidential Election Winner" market close? The "Peru Presidential Election Winner" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline. What are traders saying about "Peru Presidential Election Winner"? The "Peru Presidential Election Winner" market has an active community of 5,743 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades. What is Polymarket? Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Peru Presidential Election Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys. View more Peru Presidential Election Winner Keiko Fujimori·Yes Buy Sell Market Yes No Amount $ • $1+$5+$10+$100 T r a d e By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use (https://polymarket.com/tos). 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