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Sport (https://www.the-independent.com/sport) 2. Football (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football) When do Scotland play Brazil? What do they need to reach World Cup knockouts? Scotland had the chance to reach the knockout stages against Morocco - but must now go to Miami to face Brazil Jamie Braidwood (https://www.the-independent.com/author/jamie-braidwood)Friday 19 June 2026 20:25 EDT • Copy link • Bookmark • Comments (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/scotland-world-cup-fixtures-brazil-b2999475.html#comments-area)Go to comments Bookmark popover Removed from bookmarks Close popover open image in gallery Steve Clarke consoles his players after Scotland’s defeat to Morocco(Reuters) Your support helps us to tell the story Read more Support Now (https://www.the-independent.com/donate?regSourceMethod=Donations) From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging. At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story. The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it. • *Your support makes all the difference.** Read more Scotland (https://www.the-independent.com/topic/scotland-football)’s hopes of advancing at the World Cup (https://www.the-independent.com/topic/world-cup-2026) are hanging in the balance - as they now prepare for their final group game against Brazil (https://www.the-independent.com/topic/brazil-football) in Miami. The Tartan Army’s worst fears from the opening 1-0 win against Haiti (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/scotland-world-cup-mcginn-steve-clarke-haiti-brazil-morocco-b2995374.html)were realised almost as soon as Scotland kicked off against Morocco. Scotland knew they couldn’t afford another disjointed performance, but were nevertheless stunned by Ismael Saibari’s thumping finish after just 70 seconds (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/morocco-scotland-world-cup-fastest-goals-b2999467.html). Scotland struggled to recover from conceding their fastest goal in World Cup history, but eventually put Morocco under some late pressure and could have been awarded a penaltyafter Scott McTominay went down in the box (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/scotland-morocco-penalty-mctominay-world-cup-b2999487.html). McTominay then rattled a shot into the side-netting. Steve Clarke’s side now face the daunting task of playing five-time winners Brazil and the talents of Vinicius Jr and Raphinha and needing a draw, - or, at the least, needing to avoid a heavy defeat - to advance to the knockout stages of a World Cup for the first time. The Tartan Army have thoroughly enjoyed their stay in Boston but they will now head to Miami for a rematch of the 1998 World Cup opener, with Scotland kicking off against Brazilat 11pm UK time (BST) on Wednesday 24 June. That will be shown on BBC One. Recommended • Scotland vs Morocco LIVE: World Cup hopes in the balance after Scott McTominay penalty appeals waved away (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/scotland-morocco-live-score-result-world-cup-2026-b2999065.html) • Where does Morocco’s strike against Scotland rank among fastest World Cup goals? (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/morocco-scotland-world-cup-fastest-goals-b2999467.html) • Why is Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi being booed at the World Cup? (https://www.the-independent.com/sport/football/achraf-hakimi-booed-why-morocco-world-cup-2026-b2999470.html) Would a draw against Brazil be enough for Scotland to qualify? Not officially, but it would almost certainly be enough- the scenario Scotland faced before kicking off against Morocco is unchanged when it comes to getting to four points. This World Cup will see the top two teams in the 12 groups guaranteed qualification to the knockout stages, which starts with a last 32 round. But there are also eight spots for third-placed teams, with the highest points and then goal difference deciding which four teams in third will miss out. While three points and a positive goal difference is likely to be enough, four points is extremely likely to be enough, but Scotland would need to wait until later in the tournament to be confirmed; with several teams putting together a run of draws, there could be a number of teams in third with four points. Could Scotland lose to Brazil and still get through? Now we’re talking. The good news for Scotland is they only lost 1-0 to Morocco. If they repeat the trick against Brazil and only lose by a one-goal margin, they will finish the group stage on three points and with a goal difference of -1. Based on previous editions of the European Championships (as detailed below) that could be good enough to go through as one of the eight-best third-placed teams. But they would be right on the fence. Needless to say, a heavy defeat to Brazil, acting as a sledgehammer to the goal difference, would mean Scotland’s hopes of going through would be as slim as the chance of a quiet half in Boston. open image in gallery (PA) What the examples of the Euros tells us The format of the Euros gives us a bit of a clue. At Euro 2016, third-placed sides Turkey and Albania were eliminated on three points despite both winning one of their games and losing the other two. At Euro 2020, Finland and Slovakia both finished third in their group with one win and two defeats, but three points was not enough to qualify. And in Euro 2024, Hungary were eliminated on three points while Slovenia did ‘a Portugal’ and advanced despite three draws and zero wins. open image in gallery John McGinn scored Scotland’s winner against Haiti, which could be crucial(Getty) The magic number for goal difference Based on the examples of previous tournaments at the Euros, the ranking of third-place teams will be determined by goal difference. In 2016, Turkey and Albania were eliminated because they finished their group with a goal difference of -2. Meanwhile, Portugal and Northern Ireland advanced on three points and an even goal difference. At Euro 2020, Finland also went out with a goal difference of -2, with Ukraine progressing on three points and a goal difference of -1. And in 2024, Hungary’s goal difference of -3 was not good enough to advance, despite them beating Scotland in their final game. The magic number for progress is therefore likely to be three points, plus a goal difference of at least -1 - the higher, the better, obviously. In theory, this would involve winning one match, and then limiting the margin of defeat in the other two matches to one goal. 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